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How a Restaurant Went from Losing $8K/Month to Profiting $15K/Month in 90 Days (With Simple Menu Optimization)

Sarah's restaurant had great reviews and was packed on weekends, but losing $8K/month. She had 60 days before closing. Here's the 90-day profit turnaround playbook.

January 24, 2025
15 min read
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How a Restaurant Went from Losing $8K/Month to Profiting $15K/Month in 90 Days (With Simple Menu Optimization)

Sarah's restaurant was packed every weekend.

4.7 stars on Google
Waitlist on Friday and Saturday nights
Rave reviews about the food

And she was losing $8,000 every single month.

She had 60 days of runway left before she'd have to close the doors.

Here's what was happening:

Monthly Revenue: $82,000
Food Cost: $35,260 (43%)
Labor Cost: $31,160 (38%)
Rent + Utilities: $12,000 (15%)
Other Expenses: $11,580 (14%)
Monthly Loss: -$8,000

The math was brutal: Every month she stayed open, she lost $8K.

90 days later:

Monthly Revenue: $78,000 (slightly DOWN)
Food Cost: $24,180 (31%)
Labor Cost: $21,840 (28%)
Rent + Utilities: $12,000 (15%)
Other Expenses: $4,980 (6%)
Monthly Profit: +$15,000

A $23,000 swing in 90 days.

We didn't change the menu. We didn't raise prices. We didn't cut quality.

We just stopped the bleeding.

Here's the exact playbook.


The Problem: Packed Restaurant, Empty Bank Account

When I walked into Sarah's restaurant on a Friday night, it was chaos.

Every table was full. The kitchen was slammed. The servers were running. The bar was three-deep.

This place is printing money, I thought.

Then Sarah showed me the P&L.

Monthly loss: -$8,000

"How is this possible?" I asked. "You're packed every night."

Sarah's response: "I don't know. Everyone loves the food. We're always busy. But I'm hemorrhaging cash."


The Diagnosis: Death by a Thousand Cuts

After spending a week in Sarah's restaurantβ€”watching service, analyzing the books, interviewing staff, and tracking every plate that left the kitchenβ€”I found the problem.

She wasn't losing money because of one big thing.
She was losing money because of 47 small things.

Here are the three biggest killers:

Killer #1: Menu Engineering Disaster

Sarah's menu had 62 items.

The problem:

  • 18 items accounted for 80% of sales
  • 44 items accounted for 20% of sales
  • Those 44 items required 31 different ingredients
  • Half those ingredients were used in only 1-2 dishes
  • Massive waste, complexity, and food cost

Worst offenders:

🦞 Lobster Risotto: 12 orders/month β€’ 67% food cost β€’ -$8/plate loss
🦐 Pan-Seared Scallops: 18 orders/month β€’ 58% food cost β€’ $2/plate profit
πŸ– Lamb Shank: 9 orders/month β€’ 61% food cost β€’ -$3/plate loss

Sarah was losing money every time someone ordered these dishes.

And she had no idea.

Killer #2: Labor Cost Nightmare

Sarah's labor cost was 38% of revenue.

Industry standard: 25-30%

The problem wasn't that she was overpaying staff. The problem was scheduling inefficiency.

What I found:

  • Same staffing levels Monday-Sunday (even though Mon-Wed were slow)
  • Servers standing around on Tuesday afternoons
  • Kitchen overstaffed during prep
  • No labor forecasting based on reservations
  • Overtime every week because of poor scheduling

Example:
Tuesday lunch: 15 customers, 4 servers, 3 cooks
Labor cost for that shift: $280
Revenue for that shift: $340
Labor %: 82%

She was losing money being open on slow days.

Killer #3: Waste and Theft

I spent three days tracking food waste and inventory.

What I found:

  • $4,200/month in food waste (spoilage, over-portioning, mistakes)
  • $1,800/month in "shrinkage" (theft, comped meals, staff meals)
  • No inventory tracking system
  • No portion control
  • No waste logs

Example:
Sarah was ordering 40 lbs of salmon every week.
Based on menu sales, she should have been using 28 lbs.
12 lbs/week unaccounted for = $2,400/month

Where did it go?

  • Spoilage (ordered too much)
  • Over-portioning (no portion control)
  • Staff meals (no tracking)
  • Mistakes (no accountability)

The Solution: Stop the Bleeding in 90 Days

We didn't need a complete overhaul. We needed surgical precision.

We implemented a three-phase profit recovery plan:

Phase 1: Menu Engineering (Days 1-30)

We cut the menu from 62 items to 32 items and restructured pricing based on food cost and popularity.

What we did:

  • Eliminated all dishes with >50% food cost
  • Removed low-volume items that required unique ingredients
  • Restructured the menu into strategic categories
  • Optimized portion sizes based on actual costs
  • Repriced dishes based on target 30% food cost

Key changes:

  • Killed the Lobster Risotto (67% food cost, 12 orders/month)
  • Removed 14 low-volume dishes
  • Consolidated ingredients (went from 127 ingredients to 64)
  • Reduced food waste by 40%

Phase 2: Labor Optimization (Days 31-60)

We rebuilt the entire scheduling system based on demand forecasting and labor efficiency.

What we did:

  • Analyzed sales by day/hour for the past 6 months
  • Created demand-based scheduling templates
  • Reduced staffing on slow days
  • Cross-trained staff for flexibility
  • Implemented labor cost targets by shift

Key changes:

  • Closed for lunch Mon-Wed (wasn't profitable)
  • Reduced Tuesday-Thursday dinner staffing
  • Eliminated unnecessary overtime
  • Set labor cost target: 28% (down from 38%)

Phase 3: Waste Elimination (Days 61-90)

We implemented inventory tracking, portion control, and waste reduction systems.

What we did:

  • Implemented daily inventory tracking
  • Created portion control standards for every dish
  • Trained kitchen staff on waste reduction
  • Installed cameras in kitchen and storage areas
  • Created waste logs and accountability systems

Key changes:

  • Portion control reduced over-portioning waste
  • Inventory tracking identified shrinkage
  • Better ordering reduced spoilage
  • Staff meal policy (tracked and budgeted)

The Results: -$8K β†’ +$15K in 90 Days

Here's what happened when we stopped the bleeding:

πŸ’° Monthly Revenue: $82,000 β†’ $78,000 (-5%)
🍴 Food Cost %: 43% β†’ 31% (-28%)
πŸ‘₯ Labor Cost %: 38% β†’ 28% (-26%)
πŸ“‰ Other Expenses: 14% β†’ 6% (-57%)
βœ… Monthly Profit: -$8,000 β†’ +$15,000 ($23K swing)
πŸ—‘οΈ Food Waste: $4,200/mo β†’ $1,680/mo (-60%)
πŸ“ Menu Items: 62 β†’ 32 (-48%)

Sarah went from 60 days away from closing to a profitable, sustainable restaurant.

And revenue actually went DOWN slightly (because we closed unprofitable shifts).

Profit isn't about revenue. It's about margins.


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FR

Franco Ray

Founder, Scale Forge Co.

Franco has driven $500M+ in revenue impact across startups and enterprises. Former fractional CMO and revenue growth strategist with 15+ years transforming struggling businesses into high-performing revenue engines.

#restaurantbusiness#profitoptimization#menuengineering#laborcost#foodcostmanagement

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